Understanding Firms’ AI Efforts and Their Economic Impact

Our research asks a central question for businesses investing heavily in artificial intelligence: Is AI actually making firms more productive, and if so, how? Using 15 years of data on AI-skilled employment at U.S. public firms, we find that firms increasing their AI investments experienced significantly faster productivity growth from 2018 to 2024—roughly one percentage point of additional productivity growth per year for a one-standard-deviation increase in AI investment. Importantly, these gains do not appear immediately; they build gradually over several years.

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