Technology (Non-) Emergence: The Role of (Mis-)Alignment of Uncertainty Dimensions In Alternative Solar Technology Trajectories
We examine industry and technology (non-) emergence by integrating actor-centric and systems perspective literature streams. We use historical methods to analyze rich data tracking investments by actors spanning private, public and academic sectors in the solar PV context. The industry took several decades after commercialization to emerge; moreover silicon and thin film technologies experienced divergent fates despite firm takeoff.