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Smith
Faculty Opinion Article
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July 13,
2007
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By Dr. Peter Morici, Professor
of International Business
E-MAIL
WEB SITE
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Forecasts for the
Weeks of July 16 and July 23
(preliminary)
Forecast Previous Week of July 16
Period
July 17
PPI - June 0.0% 0.9
PPI Core - June 0.1% 0.2
Industrial Production - June 0.4%
0.0
Capacity Utilization _ June 81.5
81.3
Net Capital Inflows - May $66.0b
76.5
NAHB Market Index 28 28
July 18
CPI - June 0.0% 0.7
CPI Core - June 0.1% 0.1
Housing Starts - June 1.480m
1.474
Building Permits - June 1.475m 1.501
Real Earnings - June 0.6% 0.3
July 19
Leading Indicators - June 0.2% 0.3
Initial Jobless Claims 312k 308
Week of July 23
July 25
Exiting Home Sales - June 5.855m
5.990
July 26
Durable Goods Orders - June 1.0%
-2.8
Help Wanted Index - June 28 27
New Home Sales - June 0.930 0.915
July 27
GDP Preliminary 2.5% 0.7
GDP Deflator 2.3% 4.2
Core PCE Price 0.1% 0.1
PCE 0.1% 0.5
Help Wanted Index - May 29 27
Peter Morici is a professor at the
University of Maryland School of
Business and former Chief Economist at
the U.S. International Trade Commission.
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