Smith Faculty Opinion Article

March 12, 2007

By Dr. Peter Morici, Professor of International Business
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Peter Morici

Week Ahead: Economic Forecasts for Week of March 12

Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.

Forecast Prior
March 12
Federal Budget Deficit - Feb -$118.0 billion -119.2 billion
March 13
Retail Sales - Feb 0.3% 0.0%
Ex Autos 0.4% 0.3%
Business Inventories - Jan 0.1% 0.0%
March 14
Current Account - Q4 -$205.0 billion -$225.6 billion
March 15
Producer Prices 0.4% -0.6%
Ex Energy, Food 0.2% 0.2%
Initial Jobless Claims 330,000 328,000
March 16
Consumer Prices- Feb 0.4% 0.2%
Ex Energy, Food 0.2% 0.3
Real Earnings -Feb -0.1% -0.3
Industrial Production 0.2% -0.5%
Capacity Utilization 81.3% 81.2
Week of March 19
Housing Starts 1.350 million
Building Permits 1.550 million
Existing Home Sales 6.470 million

Peter Morici is a professor at the University of Maryland School of Business and former Chief Economist at the U.S. International Trade Commission.