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Smith Faculty
Opinion Article |
November 20,
2006 |
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By Dr. Peter Morici, Professor of
International Business
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WEB SITE |
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Why
GM, Ford and Chrysler Left Washington
Empty Handed
The leaders of General Motors, Ford
and Chrysler recently had their long
awaited summit with President Bush.
Sensitive to public sentiment, auto
leaders argued they were not looking for
special treatment. Instead, they sought
adjustments in public policy that would
benefit both the country and their
operating environment. A close look at
their problems and actions indicates
automakers are not willing to address
tough issues and Washington cannot save
them.
Importantly, the industry is healthy.
About as many cars and trucks will be
made in the United States and Canada in
2010 as were made in 2000. Toyota,
Nissan and other foreign rivals are
adding capacity and paying workers well.
The Detroit Three are shuttering
factories, because sloppy management,
bloated executive pay and unrealistic
labor contracts raise their cost per
vehicle at least $2500 above other
companies operating in North America.
The automakers spoke with President
Bush about energy, health care, foreign
exchange, and material costs. In doing
so, they demonstrated the cognitive
dissonance of an alcoholic arguing his
high blood pressure is caused by his
wife's cooking.
On energy, the Detroit Three proposed
reducing U.S. dependence on imported oil
by building more flexible fuel vehicles
and having Washington guarantee the
availability of gasohol and bio-diesel.
The corn and soy beans necessary to make
these fuels require a lot of oil-based
fertilizer and very large subsidies to
be viable on a meaningful scale. In
contrast, hybrid vehicles save
considerable oil directly, but Toyota
and Honda have the jump on domestic
automakers in perfecting and marketing
this technology.
Instead of letting the market decide,
the Detroit Three wrap themselves in the
banner of national energy security, when
they are really pleading for subsidies
to compensate for their slow start in a
popular, market-viable, energy-saving
technology.
On health care, the Detroit Three
spend at least $1000 per vehicle on
gold-plated health benefits for their
workers and blue collar retirees, and
want Washington to nationalize elements
of health care for everyone. The problem
is that additional taxes would be needed
and paid by all businesses, the benefits
would look a lot like the benefits
Toyota and other more prudent companies
provide their U.S. workers, and the
United Autoworkers would want the
Domestic Three to provide gap coverage
for the differences between national
health care and what their members now
receive. The Detroit Three would remain
disadvantaged.
On trade, the Detroit Three harp that
the cars and parts imported from Japan
benefit from a dollar overvalued against
the yen, thanks to Japanese government
intervention in foreign exchange
markets.
The dollar is overvalued against the
Chinese yuan, Japanese yen and several
other Asian currencies, which affects
all domestic manufacturers competing
with imports. Each year, China sells in
currency markets yuan sufficient to buy
more than $200 billion in U.S. dollars
and other hard currencies to keep the
yuan 40 percent undervalued and its
exports artificially cheap.
Japan and others cannot appreciably
revalue their currencies until China
stops this egregious violation of free
trade principles, lest they disadvantage
their exports vis-a-vis Chinese products.
Consistently, GM, Ford and Chrysler
lobby for relief on the yen but are
reticent on the Chinese yuan, because
they are building factories and
profiting from protection in China. They
cant have it both ways: a stronger yen
and a weaker yuan, free trade with Japan
and protection in China.
On material costs, they complain
about the price of metals and plastics,
and are lobbying for the removal of
antidumping duties on corrosive
resistant steel from Japan, Korea,
Germany and other countries. The total
cost of this material composes only
about $500 in a product whose price
averages more than $25,000. A small
reduction in that cost would benefit
foreign factories in the United States
as much or more than the Detroit Three,
owing to their tight relationships with
suppliers back home.
Moreover, since 1963, the Detroit
Three have enjoyed a 25 percent tariff
on trucks imported from Japan, Korea and
other countries outside of the North
American Free Trade area. That provides
a margin of protection equal to more
than $5000 per vehicle. They have
strenuously defended this tariff through
the Tokyo, Uruguay and Doha Round
negotiations, making their pleadings on
steel tariffs awfully hypocritical.
Toyotas hourly labor costs at U.S.
plants are about $35. At the Detroit
Three, it is about $80, thanks to
cumbersome work rules, excessive sick
leave, extra time off, and other
benefits imposed by an arcane UAW
contract. Meanwhile, UAW president Ron
Gettlefinger tells his members national
health insurance and government largesse
are the answer.
The real problem facing the auto
companies is the UAW contract, and GM,
Ford and Chrysler managers do not have
the ability or the courage to educate
Mr. Gettelfinger, go directly to their
workers with the facts, or both. If they
did, then they would also have to
explain why men like Rick Wagoner and
Alan Mulally are paid $5 million a year
to destroy billions of dollars in
shareholder value.
No amount of government help short of
massive subsidies could save a domestic
industry whose leaders are so detached
from reality and selfish.
Responding to their pleadings,
President Bush gave the automakers a
sympathetic ear and a polite no. He
should have given them what I offer my
adolescent son when he is unreasonable:
a figurative boot in the rear.
Peter Morici is a professor at the
University of Maryland School of Business
and former Chief Economist at the U.S.
International Trade Commission.