Smith Faculty Opinion Article

John Haslem By Dr. John A. Haslem, Professor Emeritus of Finance
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The 30 Seconds Outlook
September 1, 2011

“The duty is daunting: reducing an unsustainable debt; restoring economic growth and opportunity; establishing a limited and energetic government in place of a bloated, meddling, and ineffective one; rebuilding America’s defenses; and reestablishing respect for America around the world.”
- William Kristol, Weekly Standard, August 20, 2011

Scott Shane, The American, August 25, 2011, has provided a menu of the harm Obama’s tax hikes would do to small business owners (and to his re-election). Let us count the ways:

1. Taxes on small business will decrease business starts, growth, hiring, and investment.

2. Progressive tax rates discourage business formation by penalizing people for successful risk taking.

3. High tax rates reduce incentives for owner’s to expand their businesses.

4. Higher tax rates increase the likelihood that small business owners will cease operations.

5. A 10% decline in small business owners’ after-tax income is associated with a 8% decline in business revenues.
6. High taxes reduce small business hiring and capital investment.

7. A 10% decline in small business owners’ after-tax income reduces the probability of hiring additional employees by 12% and reduces wages they pay typical workers by 4%.

8. Increasing marginal tax rates will fall heavily on small business owners who make up one third of the highest marginal brackets.

9. Fifty percent of net positive business income goes to tax payers in the highest marginal tax brackets.

10. Eliminating LIFO inventory accounting would result in higher taxes for small business, thereby causing more businesses to close.

11. Increasing capital gains taxes will diminish entrepreneurial activity needed for capital formation.

12. Raising tax rates in poor politics because it raises taxes on small businesses—“The American Dream.”

13. When tax rates increase, investors who provide risk capital to entrepreneurs are encouraged to invest in tax-free bonds, rather than financing growth opportunities.

14. Small business owners represent a major part of the electorate with 60 million people---about 50% of the number that voted in the last election.

15. Obama is unlikely to understand the economic mistake in raising taxes on small business owners— but he certainly must realize the political mistake.

John A. Haslem