Smith Faculty Opinion Article

John Haslem By Dr. John A. Haslem, Professor Emeritus of Finance
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The 30 Seconds Outlook
February 1, 2010

“The mountain of debt that Obama is piling up is breathtaking and . . . it will put unprecedented burdens on the economy that will only get worse under his proposed tax and spending policies.”

— Arthur Laffer, economist and Reagan advisor,
in Donald Lambro, HumanEvents.com. January 27, 2010. 

The State of the Union speech provided no acknowledgement of or intention to deal in any necessary way with the most critical problem facing the U.S. — the deficit now and in the future!

To provide perspective on this problem, a look at the nation’s 2007 accounting balance sheet (billions) is essential:

Total Revenue $ 2,627.3
Total Expenses 3,157.3

Net Operating (Loss) ($ 275.5) — 2007

Total Assets $ 1,581.7

Liabilities—Public Debt $ 5,077.5
Employee Benefits 4,769.1
Other Liabilities 940.1
Total Liabilities $10,786.9

Net Worth (Loss) ($9,205.8) — $9.2 trillion

Net worth (Loss) represents the nation’s financial accounting value from long-term operations, and does not include balance sheet deficits beyond 2007.

The balance sheet ignores Social Security and Medicare/Medicaid obligations to current and beyond 2007 participants of $86.0 trillion. These obligations represent 40% of the 2007 annual operating budget.

Further, the government does not include the losses past and future from Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae operations in the nation’s balance sheet. These government-sponsored housing-subsidy agencies are in conservatorship and their losses should be accounted for. Through 2009, losses were $291 billion, with an additional $21 billion so far in 2010. Losses in the next 10 years are estimated at $389 billion.

Total Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae losses through 2009 and estimated future (only 10 years) are therefore $680 billion.

So let’s add the figures: $9.2 trillion plus $86 trillion plus $680 billion equals $95.9 trillion.

The Administration states that in fiscal 2011 it will hold the line on the 35% of the budget that is discretionary. Operating budgets have already been increased by 24%. And then there are the costs of Obamacare and Cap and Trade, and a tax and spending agenda that does not generate economic growth.  

John A. Haslem