Smith Faculty Opinion Article

John Haslem By Dr. John A. Haslem, Professor Emeritus
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The 30 Seconds Outlook
August 1, 2008

"[Investing] is the one sphere of life and activity where victory, security, and success is always to the minority and never to the majority." -- John Maynard Keynes.

In the current tough market times, it is worth to heed the words of Legg Mason’s record holding value investor, Bill Miller. "I do think some things are obvious: it is obvious the credit crisis will end, and it is obvious the housing crisis will end, and that credit markets will function satisfactorily and house prices will stop going down and then start moving higher. It is obvious that the American consumer will spend sufficiently to keep the economy moving forward long term. It is obvious that the U.S. economy, already the most productive in the world, will get even more productive and will adapt and grow. It is obvious stock prices will be higher in the future than they are now." This is the mantra for value investors who will reap abnormal returns in the next bull market. 

by John A. Haslem

John A. Haslem, Professor Emeritus of Finance, University of Maryland.