Firms in developing countries face challenges posed by underdeveloped financial
systems and markets, regulatory systems that are still works in progress, and legal
environments that are not always efficient at protecting property rights and resolving
commercial disputes. The Emerging Markets Research Track will provide a forum for
the discussion on cutting edge research on ways to reform financial institutions,
government policies and management strategies in developing countries so that they
facilitate the growth and increases in productivity of businesses. We will partner
with practitioners and policy makers to create a market for ideas how to improve
both regulatory frameworks and business practices.
Formal versus Informal Finance: Evidence from China
by Meghana Ayyagari, Asli Demirguc-Kunt, and Vojislav Maksimovic
Published in the Review of Financial Studies, August 2010
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Abstract: The fast growth of Chinese private sector firms
is taken as evidence that informal finance can facilitate firm growth better
than formal banks in developing countries.
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We examine firm financing patterns and growth using a database of twenty-four
hundred Chinese firms. While a relatively small percentage of firms utilize
bank loans, bank financing is associated with faster growth whereas informal
financing is not. Controlling for selection, we find that firms with bank
financing grow faster than similar firms without bank financing and that
our results are not driven by bank corruption or the selection of firms
that have accessed the formal financial system. Our findings question whether
reputation and relationship-based financing are responsible for the performance
of the fastest-growing firms in developing countries.
African Finance: Myths and Realities
by Lemma Senbet
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A keynote address for the “Entrepreneurship in Africa” Conference at Whitman
School of Management, Syracuse University, April 2, 2010.
Prof. Senbet explores the financial development gap faced by African countries
and comments on the challenges to the African financial systems and the opportunities
for financial entrepreneurship.
Do Phoenix Miracles Exist? Firm-Level Evidence from Financial Crises
by Meghana Ayyagari, Asli Demirgüç-Kunt and Vojislav Maksimovic
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Abstract: This paper provides empirical evidence on firm
recoveries from financial system collapses in developing countries (systemic
sudden stops episodes), and compares them with the experience in the United
States in the 2008 financial crisis.
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Prior research found that economies recover from systemic sudden stop episodes
before the financial sector. These recoveries are called Phoenix miracles,
and the research questioned the role of the financial system in recovery.
Although an average of the macro data across a sample of systemic sudden
stop episodes over the 1990s appears consistent with the notion of Phoenix
recoveries, closer inspection reveals heterogeneity of responses across
the countries, with only a few countries fitting the pattern. Micro data
show that across countries, only a small fraction (less than 31 percent)
of firms follow a pattern of recovery in sales without a recovery in external
credit, and even these firms have access to external sources of cash. The
experience of firms in the United States during the 2008 financial crisis
also suggests no evidence of credit-less recoveries. An examination of the
dynamics of firms’ financing, investment and payout policies during recovery
periods shows that far from being constrained, the firms in the sample are
able to access long-term financing, issue equity, and significantly expand
their cash holdings.
Small vs. Young Firms across the World Contribution to Employment,
Job Creation, and Growth
by Meghana Ayyagari, Asli Demirgüç-Kunt and Vojislav Maksimovic
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Abstract: This paper describes a unique cross-country database
that presents consistent and comparable information on the contribution of the
small and medium enterprises sector to total employment, job creation, and growth
in 99 countries. more...
The authors compare and contrast the importance of small and medium enterprises
to that of young firms across different economies. They find that small
firms (in particular, firms with less than 100 employees) and mature firms
(in particular, firms older than 10 years) have the largest shares of total
employment and job creation. Small firms and young firms have higher job
creation rates than large and mature firms. However, large firms and young
firms have higher productivity growth. This suggests that while small firms
employ a large share of workers and create most jobs in developing economies
their contribution to productivity growth is not as high as that of large
firms.
The African Financial Development Gap
by Franklin Allen, Elena Carletti, Robert Cull, Jun “QJ” Qian, and Lemma
Senbet
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Abstract: Economic growth in Africa has long been disappointing.
With extensive country- and firm-level data sets we first document that the
financial sectors of most sub-Saharan African countries remain significantly
underdeveloped by the standards of other developing countries.
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We then examine the factors that are associated with financial development
in Africa and compare them with those in other developing countries. Population
density appears to be considerably more important for banking sector development
in Africa than elsewhere. Given the high costs of developing viable banking
sectors outside metropolitan areas, technology advances, such as mobile
banking, could be a promising way to facilitate African financial development.
Similarly to other developing countries, natural resources endowment is
associated with a lower level of financial development in Africa, but macro
policies do not appear to be an important determinant.